Does the draw affect the performance of the horse at Wolverhampton?
All races are run on the round course, with the 7f distance starting from a chute:
Wolverhampton 7f Draw Bias
Up to 7f and the number of races keeps increasing; there are nearly 400 races in the sample:
Lower Third: 34.5%
Middle Third: 36.8%
Upper Third: 28.7%
High draws are slightly worse off again and the PRB figures support this marginal negative bias with high numbers significantly worse off. Percentage of Rivals Beaten (PRB) is a calculation based on a horse’s finishing position in relation to field size. It makes key distinctions between a horse finishing third in a five-horse race (PRB 50%, two rivals beaten, beaten by two rivals) and finishing third in an eleven-horse race (PRB 80%, eight rivals beaten, beaten by two rivals):
Lower Third: 0.52
Middle Third: 0.53
Upper Third: 0.45
In general, you should factor this bias in when considering horses from double figure draws.
However, when we look at races of over 1 mile the draw bias disappears; in these races you can totally disregard the draw.
In summary, at Wolverhampton in 8+ runner handicaps, the draw has a clear bias up to and including 7f, with very high draws at particular disadvantage, while low draws are fair best over 5f.
If you want you quality horse racing tips sent to you daily then look no further and start your 14-day trial of Ron Williams Racing horse racing tipster service.